Risk Management (or not): Difference between revisions

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=Risk Management=
==Reasons to Disregard Risks==
 
==REASONS TO DISREGARD RISKS==
*Superstition.  "Speak of the Devil and he shall appear."
*Superstition.  "Speak of the Devil and he shall appear."
*Magical Thinking ("If we don't talk about it, it can't happen") and the corollary: Likelihood Thought-Action Fusion ("talking about it makes it happen").
*Magical Thinking"If we don't talk about it, it can't happen".  And the corollary:  
*The Ostrich Effect ("bury your head in the sand and the bad thing will go away").
*Likelihood Thought-Action Fusion"Talking about it makes it happen".
*Risk Denial ("don't document it otherwise it affects morale and upsets stakeholders and then it will happen").
*The Ostrich Effect"Bury your head in the sand and the bad thing will go away".
*Denial Culture ("Keep calm and shut the **** up").
*Risk Denial"Don't document it otherwise it staff affects morale and upsets stakeholders and then it will happen".
*Minimisation.  "That's not a real risk".
*Normalcy Bias.  "It's never happened before".
*Optimism Bias.  "That wouldn't happen here".
*Risk Discounting.  "It wouldn't be that bad".
*Disaster Myopia.  "Nothing like that has happened for years".
*Denial Culture"Keep calm and shut the **** up".
*Defensive Denial.  "Are you saying my plan is flawed?"
*False Positivity.  "Don't be so negative.  It might never happen."
*Blame the Messenger.
*Blame the Messenger.
*Punitive Delegation: "You saw it, you fix it."
*Punitive Delegation"You saw it, you fix it."
*Slopy-shouldered: "Bring me solutions, not problems.
*Slopy-shoulders.  "Bring me solutions, not problems".
*Safe Inaction: "Let sleeping dogs lie".  "You don't get sacked for making no decision."
*Safe Inaction"Let sleeping dogs lie".
*Omission Bias: "If I ignore it and it blows up, bad luck.  If I poke it and it blows up, I'll get the blame."
*Career-minded Inaction.  "You don't get sacked for making no decision".
*Benign Neglect: "It's not broken enough to be worth fixing".
*Omission Bias"If I ignore it and it blows up, bad luck.  If I poke it and it blows up, I'll get the blame."
*Strategic Inaction: "I have decided it should wait".
*Benign Neglect"It's not broken enough to be worth fixing".
*Wilful Ignorance: "La, la, la.  Oops, dropped it in the bin."
*Strategic Inaction"I have decided it should wait".
*Organisational Inertia: "We don't do it that way here".
*Wilful Ignorance"La, la, la, can't hear you.  Oops, dropped it in the bin."
*Kick it Down the Road: "I'll move on before it happens".
*Organisational Inertia"We don't do it that way here".
*Kick it Down the Road"I'll move on before it happens".
*Science Will Fix It.  "Not a problem.  Science will find a solution."
*Groupthink.  "There's only you thinks that so you're wrong".
*The Abilene Paradox.  "It looks like everyone else thinks this isn't a problem so I'll keep quiet".
*Bystander Effect.  "Surely <i>everyone</i> can see this, so <i>someone</i> must be dealing with it".
*Pluralistic Ignorance.  "Everyone else is cheering the Emperor's new suit.  It must be me that's mistaken."
*Weaponised Competence.  "If you can't see ow this works, you aren't thinking <i>strategically</i>".
*The Newcomer.  "When you've been here a while, you'll understand".
*Unstoppable Project Momentum.  "We've gone too far to stop now".
*Traffic Light Quota.  "We already have our limit for red risks on the dashboard".
*Goodhart's Law.  "The SLA says we can't have any more risks".
*Organisational Inertia.  "We can't change how we do things, it's like turning a super-tanker".
*Cassandra Syndrome.  "Oh is he complaining about that thing AGAIN?  He's always complaining about it.  Ignore him."
*The Law of Triviality.  "We'll worry about that huge thing another day.  First we need to count the paperclips."
*The Crocodile Nearest the Boat.  "Don't worry about that huge problem that's downstream.  There's a little problem right here."
*Bum-covering.  "It's OK, I already alluded to that on page 156 in Appendix D."
*Panic Avoidance Bias.  "Don't mention that; it'll set the hares running and create more work."
*I Hear What You Say.  "I'm not interested.  Shut up and go away."
*The Chilling Effect.  "Stop looking to cause trouble.  It is disruptive and not appreciated."
*Cascade Anxiety.  "Don't go opening that can of worms, it'll just create more problems."
*Pandora's Box Effect.  "If we go down that path, it opens up too much complexity for us to handle".
*Strategic Misrepresentation.  "If we document that risk, we might lose the funding."
*Action Bias.  "Stop thinking about what might go wrong and just get on with it".
*Scope Insulated Execution.  "We need to protect the scope and not get tied up hypothesising legal implications".
*Budget Protection.  "We haven't the money to do anything about that anyway".
*Analysis Paralysis Pre-emption.  "Don't go down that rabbit hole and get us bogged down in what-ifs.  Let's move on".


==REASONS TO RAISE RISKS==
==Reasons to Raise Risks==
*Come to think of it, I'm not sure now.
*Come to think of it, I'm not sure there are any now.


[[Category: Project management‏‎]]
[[Category: Project management‏‎]]

Revision as of 21:57, 2 June 2026

Reasons to Disregard Risks

  • Superstition. "Speak of the Devil and he shall appear."
  • Magical Thinking. "If we don't talk about it, it can't happen". And the corollary:
  • Likelihood Thought-Action Fusion. "Talking about it makes it happen".
  • The Ostrich Effect. "Bury your head in the sand and the bad thing will go away".
  • Risk Denial. "Don't document it otherwise it staff affects morale and upsets stakeholders and then it will happen".
  • Minimisation. "That's not a real risk".
  • Normalcy Bias. "It's never happened before".
  • Optimism Bias. "That wouldn't happen here".
  • Risk Discounting. "It wouldn't be that bad".
  • Disaster Myopia. "Nothing like that has happened for years".
  • Denial Culture. "Keep calm and shut the **** up".
  • Defensive Denial. "Are you saying my plan is flawed?"
  • False Positivity. "Don't be so negative. It might never happen."
  • Blame the Messenger.
  • Punitive Delegation. "You saw it, you fix it."
  • Slopy-shoulders. "Bring me solutions, not problems".
  • Safe Inaction. "Let sleeping dogs lie".
  • Career-minded Inaction. "You don't get sacked for making no decision".
  • Omission Bias. "If I ignore it and it blows up, bad luck. If I poke it and it blows up, I'll get the blame."
  • Benign Neglect. "It's not broken enough to be worth fixing".
  • Strategic Inaction. "I have decided it should wait".
  • Wilful Ignorance. "La, la, la, can't hear you. Oops, dropped it in the bin."
  • Organisational Inertia. "We don't do it that way here".
  • Kick it Down the Road. "I'll move on before it happens".
  • Science Will Fix It. "Not a problem. Science will find a solution."
  • Groupthink. "There's only you thinks that so you're wrong".
  • The Abilene Paradox. "It looks like everyone else thinks this isn't a problem so I'll keep quiet".
  • Bystander Effect. "Surely everyone can see this, so someone must be dealing with it".
  • Pluralistic Ignorance. "Everyone else is cheering the Emperor's new suit. It must be me that's mistaken."
  • Weaponised Competence. "If you can't see ow this works, you aren't thinking strategically".
  • The Newcomer. "When you've been here a while, you'll understand".
  • Unstoppable Project Momentum. "We've gone too far to stop now".
  • Traffic Light Quota. "We already have our limit for red risks on the dashboard".
  • Goodhart's Law. "The SLA says we can't have any more risks".
  • Organisational Inertia. "We can't change how we do things, it's like turning a super-tanker".
  • Cassandra Syndrome. "Oh is he complaining about that thing AGAIN? He's always complaining about it. Ignore him."
  • The Law of Triviality. "We'll worry about that huge thing another day. First we need to count the paperclips."
  • The Crocodile Nearest the Boat. "Don't worry about that huge problem that's downstream. There's a little problem right here."
  • Bum-covering. "It's OK, I already alluded to that on page 156 in Appendix D."
  • Panic Avoidance Bias. "Don't mention that; it'll set the hares running and create more work."
  • I Hear What You Say. "I'm not interested. Shut up and go away."
  • The Chilling Effect. "Stop looking to cause trouble. It is disruptive and not appreciated."
  • Cascade Anxiety. "Don't go opening that can of worms, it'll just create more problems."
  • Pandora's Box Effect. "If we go down that path, it opens up too much complexity for us to handle".
  • Strategic Misrepresentation. "If we document that risk, we might lose the funding."
  • Action Bias. "Stop thinking about what might go wrong and just get on with it".
  • Scope Insulated Execution. "We need to protect the scope and not get tied up hypothesising legal implications".
  • Budget Protection. "We haven't the money to do anything about that anyway".
  • Analysis Paralysis Pre-emption. "Don't go down that rabbit hole and get us bogged down in what-ifs. Let's move on".

Reasons to Raise Risks

  • Come to think of it, I'm not sure there are any now.